Should defendants be convicted based on merely statistical evidence? To what extent are individuals responsible for group harms? Can voting in a non-swing state be justified? Are cosmological theories ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Bryce Hoffman writes about leadership, strategy, and decision making. This article is more than 2 years old. The availability ...

What is it worth to increase your chance of success? Or to reduce the chance of a costly failure? For most of modern history, we have not been able to answer those questions clearly. We have relied on ...

Do you use these mental models for efficient decision-making in your daily life? If not, you’re missing out on the opportunity to make more thoughtful and informed choices. Mental models are cognitive ...