The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve entered an unprecedented state this week, with one-month yields rising above three-month yields for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis, due to investors' ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

The Treasury yield curve has witnessed substantial volatility in recent weeks as a result of multiple shocks, mostly related to Fed interest rate expectations, the dangers of a recession, and the ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

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The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

Here at The Indicator we've been on recession watch ever since the yield curve inverted at the end of last year. For the uninitiated, the yield curve shows different interest rates on government bonds ...